11/24/08 Picks - Cont.

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Notre Dame / Indiana (Maui Invitational) - Line Over / Under 135

Notre Dame is a very good offensive team with suspect defense. Lucky for us they struggled from the field in their last game only scoring 65. Given that ND is coming off of close game (they clearly had looked past their opponent) and the fact that Indiana is an instate rival, I expect them to be focused and come out firing. Indiana not only lost their coach they lost their whole team as evey scholarship player from last season flew the coup. The Hoosiers are very young and will not be ready to handle a team as talented as ND. The line in this game is ND -15 (I would not be surprised if they won by 20+) which seems about right but I believe the total is off. ND should easily get 75+ (I expect 80) so Indiana only needs to get yo 60 for the cover. ND's D is not good enough to routinely keep their opponent from hitting 60, especially in rout (it is natural to slack a little on D at the end of a blow out).

The Pick: Take the Over 135