Free Picks 3/7/09

It is A-10 and Over day. Here are the games I have locked in before I go to bed:

California / Arizona St : Over 136 - This is my Play of the Day. Cal will light up State's zone while State scores in the lane with Harden and Pendergraph.

Iowa St -3 : Nice letdown spot for Tech following the big emotional win over Kansas.

Temple -4.5 : GW should struggle to score in this one (might play the under as well).

Kentucky / Florida: Over 147 - Neither of these teams play much D and I think both teams are better in transition. Last game had a pace of 72 (according to Kenpom) so with a little uptick in the fg% and number of free throw attempts (the last meeting was so close there was no intentional fouling at the end) should get this one over.

Stanford / Arizona: Over 144

I will most likely have plays on Saint Joe's, Iowa, and St Louis. Keep checking back for more plays throughout the day.

Picks 2/26/09

I should have had a much better night. I did a poor job of narrowing down my leans and left a lot of profit on the board.

I have locked in a number of plays tonight before I go to bed because I think the lines will move:

Arizona +2 - Arizona is playing really well right now and this is a great let down spot for Washington St following the big UCLA win.

Arizona St @ Washington - Over 140.5 - Last game Washington negated Arizona St's zone by beating it down the court and Washington's guards were much quicker than State's (Hardon excluded) and were able to penetrate the zone when it was setup. I don't see how things can change for this game (speed kills) and I will be playing Washington minus the pts as well (just waiting to see what the line does).

UCLA -6.5

USC @ California - Over 135.5

UAB +5

Check back tomorrow for more plays. I have 6 other leans I am looking at. I usually don't have this many plays on a Thursday so hopefully this does not blow up in my face.