Sunday, March 15, 2009

Picks 3/15/09

Not many games today. Here is my play:

Florida St +7

I have FSU as a 3 point dog in this game and they are getting 7 so this is a play. FSU has the guard speed and defense to win this game. This game will probably come down to free throw disparity.

As for the FSU future to win the ACC tourney I have decided to not hedge it. Thanks to playing Duke the moneyline is -300 and I just can't get myself to hedge it out at that price when I think they have a better than 3 to 1 chance to win this game. If FSU was playing Maryland or BC, I would be hedging but Duke brings in too much public money (especially with only 4 games today).

I might add Tennessee as a play as well. I am staying away from the Ohio St / Purdue game because I think the line is pretty sharp.

Check back to see if I add the Vols and for possible half time plays.

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