Picks 3/9/09

Small card today so I am getting these plays up early. Here is what I am playing:

VCU -3.5 : This will be a square write-up. VCU will have the best player on the court in Maynor, the game is being played in Richmond, VCU has been the best shooting team in the conference tournament so far, they are the better free throw shooting team, and VCU has been the better road team this year. My only reservation here is that George Mason should win the rebounding battle. This could be an ugly game to watch.

Siena -3.5 (this is my Play of the Day): This game will be played at Siena, Niagra just played a double OT game that ended late last night, Siena is the more experienced team having won this game last year for the bid, and they can revenge the 15 point loss they just suffered against Niagra. The fatigue in Niagra's players was evident last night as they started missing a lot of FT's in OT. This is the 3rd game in 3 days for both teams but thanks to 2 blowouts Siena has been able to rest their starters some.

College of Charleston / Chattanooga : Under 154.5 - This will be COC's 4th game in 4 days and Chatt's 3rd. A bid will be on the line so we should get maximum defensive effort.

I am also leaning to the under in the Siena / Niagra game and I am still looking at the Zags game.