Saturday, January 17, 2009

Picks Sat 1/17/09

Massive card today. Counting totals there are 190 different possible bets that can be made. I am going to post what I have locked in now and will continue to post additional plays as I make them.

Northeastern -3: Northeastern is red hot and just beat this team by 23 pts a couple weeks ago and nothing unusual (aka 75% 3pt shooting) occurred in the first meeting.

Georgetown +9: Duke should find it much harder to rebound in this game. The recipe to beating Duke the last several years is athleticism which Georgetown has. This line should be 5 not 9.

Duke vs Georgetown Over 137

Butler -3: Both of these teams play a little faster than their stats dictate and Illinois Chicago's defense leaves much to be desired. Butler is just the much better team and has Illinois Chicago has already lost 3 home games this year to teams less talented than Butler. Butler should be able to get to 70 in this game and I don't see IC being able to keep up as they take bad shots sometimes.

Arkansas +10.5: Florida is not good enough defensively to cover this spread. They will once again get killed on the glass and Washington should have his way in the paint against the Gators. Both teams like to run so this should be a track meet.

BYU -1.5: New Mexico is overrated. I have watched them several times on Full Court and they just do not impress me. BYU won this game on the road last year as well to a much better NM team.

Texas -6: I don't see this game being close at all. Texas will be the best defensive team TT has played all year. Texas' biggest problem this year has been putting the ball in the basket but TT sucks on the defensive end so it should not be an issue in this game.

Pittsburgh +2: Louisville has yet to prove they can hit shots from the outside but have been making a living in the lane and on the glass lately. I don;t see those same points being there today as Pitt is one of the best rebounding teams I have seen this year.

Nebraska -2: Nebraska has been very good at home and they really defend. Kansas St has been headed in the other direction lately and their guards should struggle with the atmosphere and on the ball pressure.

Michigan -3.5: Without Lighty, Ohio St should struggle to score against Michigan's zone. Mullins is a freshmen so this will be the first time he sees this defense. Michigan has also been very good at home this year.

Davidson -12: Value has been created because Davidson has not been able to cover the 20 pt spreads they have been facing. Georgia Southern sucks defensively so Curry should have no problems filling up the stat sheet in this one.

That is it for now. I still have another 10 or so more leans so expect more plays.

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